Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Crouse 48.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 50.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 61.4%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Tuch
Crouse
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Crouse
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crouse
0
1
Tuch
Crouse
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
44.4% (36)
-4.8%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
66.7% (3)
-35.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
50.0% (2)
-1.0%
On power play, Crouse has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Crouse is 83.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Tuch
Crouse
Home
47.1% (102)
50.0% (22)
Away
33.7% (86)
42.1% (19)
By Period
Tuch
Crouse
P1
41.5%
55.6%
P2
43.3%
41.7%
P3
37.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
39.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Lawson Crouse |