Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Poehling 50.8% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 73.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 61.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 57.4%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Tuch
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tuch
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
2
0
Tuch
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Tuch
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Tuch
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
52.6% (622)
-13.0%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
58.3% (12)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
39.8% (103)
+9.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Tuch
Poehling
Home
47.1% (102)
53.2% (393)
Away
33.7% (86)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Tuch
Poehling
P1
41.5%
50.9%
P2
43.3%
56.2%
P3
37.5%
46.1%
Final 5 min
39.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |