Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Arvidsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Arvidsson 44.1% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
Arvidsson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Tuch 70.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Tuch
Arvidsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Arvidsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
30.6% (49)
+9.0%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
50.0% (2)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
100.0% (1)
-51.0%
On penalty kill, Arvidsson has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arvidsson shoots right. Tuch is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Tuch shoots right. Arvidsson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Tuch
Arvidsson
Home
47.1% (102)
29.6% (27)
Away
33.7% (86)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Tuch
Arvidsson
P1
41.5%
12.5%
P2
43.3%
27.8%
P3
37.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Arvidsson
36.0%▼
37.5%
32.7%