Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 74.4%
Defensive zone
Tuch 77.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 80.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Tuch
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Trocheck
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Tuch
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Tuch
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Tuch
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
59.6% (1,032)
-20.0%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
62.1% (253)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
55.4% (249)
-6.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Tuch is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Tuch shoots right. Trocheck is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Tuch
Trocheck
Home
47.1% (102)
61.7% (786)
Away
33.7% (86)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Tuch
Trocheck
P1
41.5%
61.7%
P2
43.3%
58.8%
P3
37.5%
57.6%
Final 5 min
39.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |