Alex Turcotte vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 67.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Turcotte
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Turcotte
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Stephenson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
1
Turcotte
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
52.1% (801)
+1.5%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
62.0% (242)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.9% (183)
+60.1%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Stephenson
Home
53.2% (263)
53.1% (672)
Away
55.0% (209)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Turcotte
Stephenson
P1
57.2%
54.6%
P2
59.6%
51.3%
P3
44.1%
51.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |