Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Lazar 58.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 84.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.0%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 61.1%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Turcotte
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Turcotte
Lazar
Last 5: Turcotte 2-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Turcotte
Lazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Turcotte
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
63.8% (174)
-10.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+70.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.3% (71)
+43.7%
On power play, Turcotte has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Turcotte is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Turcotte shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Lazar
Home
53.2% (263)
63.3% (128)
Away
55.0% (209)
59.3% (118)
By Period
Turcotte
Lazar
P1
57.2%
64.6%
P2
59.6%
60.5%
P3
44.1%
59.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |