Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Yurov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Yurov 40.6% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 70.9%
Defensive zone
Yurov 72.0%
Neutral zone
Yurov 72.5%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Turcotte
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Turcotte
Yurov
Last 7: Turcotte 2-5 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
0
1
Turcotte
Yurov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
3
Turcotte
Yurov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Yurov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
39.6% (621)
+14.0%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
27.8% (18)
+42.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (8)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Yurov is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Yurov
Home
53.2% (263)
43.1% (332)
Away
55.0% (209)
34.9% (315)
By Period
Turcotte
Yurov
P1
57.2%
37.5%
P2
59.6%
38.1%
P3
44.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |