Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs James 50.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
James 54.5%
Defensive zone
James 62.2%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 51.0%
Result
Dominic James favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Turcotte
James
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Turcotte
James
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
0
Turcotte
James
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
James
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
James
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
49.6% (270)
+1.5%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
80.0% (5)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, James has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
James shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Turcotte
James
Home
51.7% (346)
47.4% (156)
Away
51.2% (332)
54.2% (120)
By Period
Turcotte
James
P1
53.8%
47.4%
P2
53.8%
53.3%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Dominic James |