Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Beecher 51.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 91.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 80.7%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 53.6%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Turcotte
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Beecher
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Beecher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
2
Turcotte
Beecher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Turcotte
Beecher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
53.2% (978)
-2.1%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
72.7% (11)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.9% (218)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Beecher is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Beecher
Home
51.7% (346)
51.9% (551)
Away
51.2% (332)
52.1% (656)
By Period
Turcotte
Beecher
P1
53.8%
53.7%
P2
53.8%
48.1%
P3
46.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |