Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Lammikko 47.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 66.3%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 73.7%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 50.8%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Turcotte
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Turcotte
Lammikko
Last 9: Turcotte 4-5 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Lammikko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
2
Turcotte
Lammikko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
3
2
Turcotte
Lammikko
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
48.6% (1,252)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
59.3% (27)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.0% (135)
+63.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Lammikko is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Lammikko
Home
51.7% (346)
48.0% (690)
Away
51.2% (332)
47.5% (724)
By Period
Turcotte
Lammikko
P1
53.8%
48.7%
P2
53.8%
47.6%
P3
46.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |