Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs MacLean 47.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 62.9%
Defensive zone
MacLean 53.4%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 50.8%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Turcotte
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Turcotte
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
MacLean
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
47.2% (849)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
62.5% (8)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.7% (30)
+43.3%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Turcotte
MacLean
Home
51.7% (346)
46.9% (426)
Away
51.2% (332)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Turcotte
MacLean
P1
53.8%
46.6%
P2
53.8%
49.7%
P3
46.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |