Alex Turcotte vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 54.6% vs Celebrini 49.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 74.7%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 69.6%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 70.0%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Turcotte
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (413)
48.3% (717)
+6.7%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
54.9% (91)
+32.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
61.9% (21)
+38.1%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Turcotte is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Turcotte shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Celebrini
Home
56.9% (216)
47.3% (412)
Away
54.4% (206)
51.3% (417)
By Period
Turcotte
Celebrini
P1
59.5%
45.6%
P2
62.3%
50.9%
P3
43.8%
51.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |