Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 60.8%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 52.6%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Turcotte
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Turcotte
Gourde
Last 7: Turcotte 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
3
0
Turcotte
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Turcotte
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.7%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
57.4% (376)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.9% (554)
+60.1%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Gourde
Home
51.7% (346)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
51.2% (332)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Turcotte
Gourde
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
53.8%
47.4%
P3
46.5%
47.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |