Alex Turcotte vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 71.5%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 55.1%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 56.8%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
Last 9: Turcotte 5-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
3
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
48.5% (612)
+2.6%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
28.6% (7)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.8% (62)
+53.2%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
Home
51.7% (346)
48.6% (319)
Away
51.2% (332)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Turcotte
Ostapchuk
P1
53.8%
48.2%
P2
53.8%
45.8%
P3
46.5%
50.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |