Alexander Burmistrov vs Chris Kelly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Burmistrov on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Burmistrov wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 43.0% vs Kelly 50.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 62.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 52.1%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 55.7%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Burmistrov
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Burmistrov
Kelly
Last 10: Burmistrov 4-6 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
3
Burmistrov
Kelly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
4
Burmistrov
Kelly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
9
4
Burmistrov
Kelly
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (2,299)
51.1% (3,010)
-8.4%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
60.6% (71)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (230)
44.7% (689)
-7.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Burmistrov is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,795).
Burmistrov shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Kelly
Home
44.3% (1,431)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
40.9% (1,260)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Burmistrov
Kelly
P1
45.1%
49.2%
P2
41.9%
49.1%
P3
41.1%
51.9%
OT
39.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.7%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |