Alexander Burmistrov vs Tim Connolly
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Burmistrov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Burmistrov wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 44.9% vs Connolly 48.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Burmistrov leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 72.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 83.7%
Neutral zone
Connolly 59.1%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Burmistrov
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Burmistrov
Connolly
Last 10: Burmistrov 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
2
1
Burmistrov
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
3
2
Burmistrov
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
2
0
Burmistrov
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (476)
47.8% (605)
-4.5%
Power Play
62.2% (37)
51.2% (86)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
29.5% (44)
55.1% (89)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Burmistrov is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Burmistrov shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Connolly
Home
41.8% (311)
51.1% (358)
Away
46.6% (253)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Burmistrov
Connolly
P1
47.3%
48.7%
P2
40.0%
48.1%
P3
45.9%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
44.0%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |