Alexander Burmistrov vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Burmistrov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Burmistrov wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 43.0% vs Connolly 47.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Burmistrov leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 77.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 65.4%
Neutral zone
Connolly 66.2%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Burmistrov
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Burmistrov
Connolly
Last 10: Burmistrov 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Burmistrov
Connolly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
4
3
Burmistrov
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burmistrov
4
2
Burmistrov
Connolly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (2,299)
47.4% (1,307)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
50.2% (251)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (230)
41.9% (186)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Burmistrov is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (896).
Burmistrov shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Connolly
Home
44.3% (1,431)
48.5% (870)
Away
40.9% (1,260)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Burmistrov
Connolly
P1
45.1%
47.4%
P2
41.9%
47.7%
P3
41.1%
47.0%
OT
39.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
39.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | OT | 02:55 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |