Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Cozens
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Cozens 50.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 69.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 60.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Kerfoot
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kerfoot
Cozens
Last 5: Kerfoot 1-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
3
Kerfoot
Cozens
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Kerfoot
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
51.4% (891)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.5% (184)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
42.4% (85)
+5.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Cozens
Home
57.4% (235)
49.5% (638)
Away
47.9% (259)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Kerfoot
Cozens
P1
53.2%
51.9%
P2
53.3%
46.4%
P3
50.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |