Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Larkin 52.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 82.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 77.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Kerfoot
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Kerfoot
Larkin
Last 10: Kerfoot 2-8 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Kerfoot
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Kerfoot
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Kerfoot
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
51.7% (9,019)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
58.5% (2,125)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
50.2% (1,122)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,110).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
51.0% (1,786)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
47.2%
52.7%
P2
46.0%
53.1%
P3
50.4%
52.1%
OT
29.4%
58.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |