Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Larkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Larkin 52.4% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Kerfoot
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
51.7% (878)
+0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.5% (246)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
48.2% (166)
-23.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larkin
Home
39.2% (51)
52.4% (647)
Away
57.1% (63)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larkin
P1
51.1%
52.2%
P2
51.6%
53.1%
P3
44.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%