Alexander Kerfoot vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 66.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 64.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
Last 8: Kerfoot 6-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
0
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
2
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
49.0% (408)
+1.4%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
68.0% (25)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
49.1% (114)
-9.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
Home
51.4% (467)
50.8% (319)
Away
43.5% (395)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Kerfoot
Gaudreau
P1
49.1%
53.4%
P2
42.4%
47.4%
P3
52.7%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |