Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Miller 57.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 83.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 62.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Kerfoot
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kerfoot
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
58.2% (823)
-5.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
58.2% (165)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
58.9% (90)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Miller
Home
57.4% (235)
59.1% (558)
Away
47.9% (259)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Kerfoot
Miller
P1
53.2%
60.7%
P2
53.3%
57.5%
P3
50.9%
56.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |