Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Drury 57.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 79.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 86.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 78.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Kerfoot
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kerfoot
Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Kerfoot
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
61.2% (667)
-8.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.0% (10)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
49.0% (157)
-24.0%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Kerfoot is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Kerfoot shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Drury
Home
39.2% (51)
59.2% (407)
Away
57.1% (63)
58.1% (427)
By Period
Kerfoot
Drury
P1
51.1%
59.0%
P2
51.6%
57.7%
P3
44.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |