Alexander Kerfoot vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.7% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 66.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
3
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
6
3
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
9
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (2,767)
49.1% (3,840)
-0.5%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
51.1% (350)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (381)
45.7% (35)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,074).
Kerfoot shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
Home
51.0% (1,760)
49.7% (2,194)
Away
44.0% (1,653)
48.6% (2,031)
By Period
Kerfoot
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.1%
49.8%
P2
45.6%
50.5%
P3
50.6%
47.2%
OT
29.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |