Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Ward 48.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 55.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 54.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.1%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Kerfoot
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Ward
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
51.3% (1,186)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
53.4% (238)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
35.5% (366)
+4.3%
On power play, Ward has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,375).
Kerfoot shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Ward
Home
51.0% (1,786)
50.3% (870)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Kerfoot
Ward
P1
47.2%
47.6%
P2
46.0%
47.5%
P3
50.4%
50.3%
OT
29.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |