Alexander Kerfoot vs Jordan Staal
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Staal 54.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 51.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 57.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Kerfoot
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kerfoot
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Kerfoot
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
57.0% (1,017)
-3.9%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
57.7% (26)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
45.1% (286)
+3.1%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Staal
Home
57.4% (235)
54.3% (667)
Away
47.9% (259)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Kerfoot
Staal
P1
53.2%
56.2%
P2
53.3%
57.0%
P3
50.9%
49.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |