Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Norris 52.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Kerfoot leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 70.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 72.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kerfoot
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Kerfoot
Norris
Last 10: Kerfoot 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
1
Kerfoot
Norris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
4
2
Kerfoot
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
3
6
Kerfoot
Norris
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
53.4% (635)
-12.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.0% (70)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
26.3% (19)
+10.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Norris
Home
40.3% (139)
52.7% (366)
Away
41.2% (165)
52.0% (358)
By Period
Kerfoot
Norris
P1
36.8%
50.4%
P2
42.1%
53.9%
P3
44.6%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 25, 2021 | OT | 01:58 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |