Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Norris 53.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 53.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kerfoot
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kerfoot
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Kerfoot
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Kerfoot
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
53.6% (560)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
56.0% (109)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
53.1% (98)
-4.9%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Norris
Home
57.4% (235)
53.6% (373)
Away
47.9% (259)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Kerfoot
Norris
P1
53.2%
61.8%
P2
53.3%
51.7%
P3
50.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |