Alexander Kerfoot vs Mathew Barzal
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.1% vs 42.6%). Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.4% vs Barzal 43.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Kerfoot
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kerfoot
Barzal
Last 9: Kerfoot 3-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kerfoot
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Kerfoot
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Kerfoot
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (471)
42.3% (813)
-0.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
47.4% (19)
-4.5%
On power play, Barzal has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kerfoot is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Kerfoot shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Barzal
Home
43.2% (250)
44.3% (436)
Away
40.9% (242)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Kerfoot
Barzal
P1
39.2%
39.7%
P2
43.9%
44.3%
P3
43.1%
44.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |