Alexander Kerfoot vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Barzal 41.4% (+9.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 67.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 54.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Kerfoot
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
40.4% (463)
+12.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
34.2% (38)
+65.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +65.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Barzal
Home
39.2% (51)
38.1% (244)
Away
57.1% (63)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Kerfoot
Barzal
P1
51.1%
46.6%
P2
51.6%
35.7%
P3
44.4%
37.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%