Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Kadri 49.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 70.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 68.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Kerfoot
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kerfoot
Kadri
Last 7: Kerfoot 3-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Kerfoot
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Kerfoot
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
47.7% (975)
+2.7%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
54.0% (226)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
55.6% (9)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Kadri
Home
51.4% (467)
48.3% (621)
Away
43.5% (395)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Kerfoot
Kadri
P1
49.1%
48.1%
P2
42.4%
48.9%
P3
52.7%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:34 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |