Alexander Kerfoot vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.7% vs Patrick 51.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Kerfoot
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Patrick
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Kerfoot
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Kerfoot
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (2,767)
50.6% (1,978)
-2.0%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
57.5% (120)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (381)
57.7% (26)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,339).
Kerfoot shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Patrick
Home
51.0% (1,760)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
44.0% (1,653)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Kerfoot
Patrick
P1
47.1%
52.9%
P2
45.6%
49.1%
P3
50.6%
51.3%
OT
29.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |