Alexander Kerfoot vs Ryan Johansen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 50.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kerfoot
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kerfoot
Johansen
Last 8: Kerfoot 4-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Kerfoot
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
51.9% (597)
-1.5%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
57.9% (133)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
54.3% (81)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Johansen
Home
51.4% (467)
55.8% (387)
Away
43.5% (395)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Kerfoot
Johansen
P1
49.1%
50.0%
P2
42.4%
56.2%
P3
52.7%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |