Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs McLeod 52.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 51.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Kerfoot
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
52.9% (904)
+0.2%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
57.6% (59)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
49.0% (241)
-0.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McLeod
Home
57.4% (235)
51.8% (612)
Away
47.9% (259)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Kerfoot
McLeod
P1
53.2%
55.4%
P2
53.3%
50.8%
P3
50.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |