Alexander Kerfoot vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.8% vs Stamkos 56.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 59.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 87.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 73.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Last 5: Kerfoot 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Kerfoot
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (190)
57.6% (439)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
58.6% (111)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
50.0% (10)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kerfoot is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stamkos is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Home
47.5% (118)
55.3% (255)
Away
55.1% (107)
59.7% (305)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stamkos
P1
54.3%
58.6%
P2
45.3%
54.4%
P3
52.5%
60.7%
Final 5 min
59.6%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
56.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Stamkos
72.0%▲
61.5%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |