Alexander Kerfoot vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 49.5% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 76.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 64.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kerfoot
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (97)
56.1% (342)
-3.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
62.5% (8)
-37.5%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Home
39.2% (51)
53.4% (208)
Away
57.1% (63)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
55.6%
P2
51.6%
52.8%
P3
44.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
49.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |