Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for True on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). True wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Compher 47.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
True 67.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 59.3%
Neutral zone
True 56.1%
Result
Alexander True favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
True
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
True
Compher
Last 6: True 2-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: True
2
1
True
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
True
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
True
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (138)
48.7% (5,716)
-3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
52.6% (682)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
41.9% (1,421)
-41.9%
On power play, Compher has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. True is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
True shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Home / Away
True
Compher
Home
46.4% (69)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
40.0% (75)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
True
Compher
P1
48.1%
49.1%
P2
40.4%
47.3%
P3
40.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
43.1%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Alexander True |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Alexander True |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |