Alexander Wennberg vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Pageau 58.8% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 60.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Wennberg
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Pageau
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
0
Wennberg
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Wennberg
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Wennberg
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
59.1% (687)
-13.3%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
69.4% (36)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
60.1% (213)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Wennberg is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Wennberg shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Pageau
Home
47.3% (607)
57.8% (377)
Away
44.6% (579)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Wennberg
Pageau
P1
44.5%
54.1%
P2
46.2%
62.1%
P3
47.4%
61.8%
OT
36.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |