Alexander Wennberg vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 33 meetings). Wennberg wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Pageau 54.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 44-33 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 81.8%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 85.0%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 87.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Wennberg
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
44
(77 meetings)
33
44
Wennberg
Pageau
Last 10: Wennberg 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
12
11
Wennberg
Pageau
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
23
Wennberg
Pageau
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
11
10
Wennberg
Pageau
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (9,118)
55.7% (9,301)
-9.1%
Power Play
49.2% (1,371)
56.8% (989)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (1,080)
49.5% (2,019)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Wennberg is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,883).
Wennberg shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Pageau
Home
47.5% (5,829)
56.3% (6,136)
Away
44.8% (5,740)
53.2% (6,173)
By Period
Wennberg
Pageau
P1
46.0%
54.7%
P2
46.0%
56.2%
P3
46.6%
53.3%
OT
44.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
46.2%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 16, 2023 | OT | 02:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |