Alexander Wennberg vs Joe Pavelski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.7% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 54.2%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 66.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Wennberg
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Wennberg
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Wennberg
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (879)
51.5% (594)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
51.7% (87)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (185)
28.6% (14)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Wennberg is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Wennberg shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Pavelski
Home
48.6% (629)
53.1% (339)
Away
44.0% (559)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Wennberg
Pavelski
P1
48.3%
53.8%
P2
48.7%
47.8%
P3
42.6%
50.2%
OT
38.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
46.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |