Alexander Wennberg vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.5%). Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.3% vs Carlsson 46.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 59.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 54.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Wennberg
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wennberg
Carlsson
Last 8: Wennberg 4-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Wennberg
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (618)
47.1% (533)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.4% (191)
46.3% (80)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (117)
33.8% (80)
-1.3%
On power play, Wennberg has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Wennberg is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Wennberg shoots left. Carlsson is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Carlsson
Home
45.5% (453)
44.4% (340)
Away
44.2% (473)
46.5% (353)
By Period
Wennberg
Carlsson
P1
42.8%
48.2%
P2
43.8%
38.4%
P3
48.3%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |