Alexander Wennberg vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 50.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 59.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.4%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Wennberg
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wennberg
Carlsson
Last 8: Wennberg 4-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Wennberg
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
45.5% (661)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
46.3% (82)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
33.3% (84)
+4.0%
On power play, Wennberg has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Carlsson
Home
47.3% (607)
42.5% (428)
Away
44.6% (579)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Wennberg
Carlsson
P1
44.5%
45.4%
P2
46.2%
39.7%
P3
47.4%
48.5%
OT
36.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |