Alexander Wennberg vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 84.9%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 54.0%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 72.0%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Wennberg
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wennberg
Kastelic
Last 6: Wennberg 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Wennberg
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Wennberg
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
61.2% (340)
-15.4%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
83.3% (6)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
56.0% (141)
-18.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Wennberg is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Wennberg shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Kastelic
Home
47.3% (607)
60.9% (233)
Away
44.6% (579)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Wennberg
Kastelic
P1
44.5%
58.6%
P2
46.2%
58.7%
P3
47.4%
63.1%
OT
36.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |