Alexander Wennberg vs Matt Duchene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Duchene 51.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 69.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 52.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Wennberg
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Duchene
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Wennberg
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (778)
51.2% (324)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.7% (239)
60.4% (53)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (169)
16.7% (6)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Wennberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Wennberg shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Duchene
Home
47.3% (607)
51.6% (182)
Away
44.6% (579)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Wennberg
Duchene
P1
44.5%
49.6%
P2
46.2%
56.2%
P3
47.4%
48.6%
OT
36.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |