Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.7%). Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 68.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Wennberg
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wennberg
Gagner
Last 5: Wennberg 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
0
Wennberg
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Wennberg
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (986)
51.3% (158)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.4% (144)
66.7% (36)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (60)
33.6% (110)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Wennberg is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Wennberg shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Gagner
Home
46.4% (621)
53.2% (154)
Away
46.9% (569)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Wennberg
Gagner
P1
42.9%
35.6%
P2
49.3%
52.7%
P3
47.6%
51.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |