Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.9% vs Jost 40.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 50.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 53.0%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 50.6%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Wennberg
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Wennberg
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Wennberg
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
1
Wennberg
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (974)
41.8% (388)
+5.6%
Power Play
40.3% (154)
0.0% (3)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (247)
21.7% (60)
+20.0%
On power play, Wennberg has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Wennberg is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Wennberg shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Jost
Home
46.1% (661)
42.6% (230)
Away
45.1% (714)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Wennberg
Jost
P1
48.5%
43.2%
P2
42.6%
38.2%
P3
46.3%
34.6%
OT
38.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |