Adrian Kempe vs Alexis Lafrenière
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lafrenière shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Lafrenière 44.2% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 50.9%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Kempe
Lafrenière
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Lafrenière
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
25.0% (28)
+14.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
0.0% (1)
+34.6%
On power play, Kempe has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafrenière shoots left. Kempe is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Kempe shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.2% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Kempe
Lafrenière
Home
38.9% (54)
0.0% (13)
Away
37.7% (61)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Kempe
Lafrenière
P1
40.5%
33.3%
P2
38.5%
0.0%
P3
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Lafrenière
24.0%▼
29.5%
24.1%