Alexis Lafrenière vs Clayton Keller
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 29.6% vs left-shot opponents — Keller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 43.6% vs Keller 47.0% (-13.3%)
Offensive zone
Keller 55.2%
Defensive zone
Keller 52.2%
Neutral zone
Keller 50.3%
Result
Clayton Keller favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Lafrenière
Keller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Keller
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (32)
39.3% (28)
-14.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On power play, Keller has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Keller shoots left. Lafrenière is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lafrenière shoots left. Keller is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Keller
Home
6.7% (15)
46.7% (15)
Away
38.9% (18)
29.4% (17)
By Period
Lafrenière
Keller
P1
30.0%
30.8%
P2
0.0%
54.5%
P3
28.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
24.2%
Keller
36.0%▼
40.0%
37.5%