Alexis Lafrenière vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeny Kuznetsov holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Lafrenière wins 34.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafrenière 36.4% vs Kuznetsov 44.2% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafrenière 84.6%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 51.1%
Neutral zone
Lafrenière 71.7%
Result
Alexis Lafrenière favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
31.8% (264)
43.9% (8,296)
-12.1%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
49.4% (633)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.2% (272)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Lafrenière is 34.0% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Lafrenière shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Home / Away
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
Home
32.3% (130)
44.8% (4,622)
Away
31.3% (163)
43.4% (4,579)
By Period
Lafrenière
Kuznetsov
P1
27.9%
43.6%
P2
34.3%
45.8%
P3
33.3%
42.8%
Final 5 min
29.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafrenière
22.0%▼
29.0%
31.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |