Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.5%). Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Protas wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Protas 47.1% vs McCann 46.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 60.6%
Defensive zone
Protas 57.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.3%
Result
Aliaksei Protas favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Protas
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Protas
McCann
Last 6: Protas 3-3 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Protas
2
0
Protas
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
3
Protas
McCann
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Protas
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (115)
46.0% (428)
+0.1%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
39.3% (56)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Protas is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Protas shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Protas
McCann
Home
50.0% (40)
45.1% (244)
Away
42.4% (85)
46.0% (248)
By Period
Protas
McCann
P1
62.9%
42.5%
P2
25.0%
45.9%
P3
52.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
34.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Protas
38.0%▬
37.5%
44.8%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Aliaksei Protas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Aliaksei Protas |